This part of the analysis deals with how party competition influenced Cameron’s decision to promise an in/out referendum if re-elected in the 2015 general election. There are three parts to this analysis. The first part looks into whether issues related to the EU has been politicised by looking at the manifestoes of the four parties in the years of 2001, 2005, and 2010. The concepts of capacity and complexity are used in order to uncover changes in the manifestoes and a possible to commit issue-capture. The second part of the analysis shed the light of the political situation the Conservative party was in the time around the Bloomberg speech. This is done through the use of surveys of public opinion. The third and final …show more content…
The role of the armed forces and EU involvement in conflict resolution is an area which all of the parties touch upon. There is therefore no possibility for a party to commit issue-capture on these issues it is more likely they will adopt a strategy based on the dispersion principle on these topics as they will not attract new voters to the parties. On the other hand, the issues on economic reform, transport, and immigration opens up for the opportunity for issue-capture. Labour is the only party which mentions the need for economic reform in its manifestoes (2005 and 2010) this has probably something to do with Labour holding the Prime Minister's office in these years thus being the party which would have to deal with economic reforms at the European level. The Liberal Democrats and UKIP are the only two parties which deal with European influence on national transport policy though the two parties do not do it in the same years and they do it in widely different ways. The UKIP manifestoes deals with European influence on transport policy in the years of 2005 and 2010 in order to show how the EU has too much influence over national policy. Immigration is another issue on which UKIP is the only party to consistently