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What are the implications of the continuing economic crisis in Greece, Ireland and Italy for the future of the Euro and the European Union?

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What are the implications of the continuing economic crisis in Greece, Ireland and Italy for the future of the Euro and the European Union?
“What are the implications of the continuing economic crisis in Greece, Ireland and Italy for the future of the Euro and the European Union?”

Introduction
The prevailing consequence of perhaps the worst recession endured globally for the European Union and its single currency, introduced a mere decade earlier, is the uncertain outlook which it now faces. The seventeen countries that employ the euro, collectively known as the Eurozone, have been facing a major debt crisis since early 2010. Unsustainable government debt has been accumulated by certain Eurozone countries, and since then Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain have all turned to other EU countries and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for hefty bailout packages. The crisis, which now threatens Italy, could mean that further, larger bailout packages may be required.

There are several implications of the continuing economic crisis in the peripheral countries, perhaps the main is that certain countries would be forced to withdraw from the Eurozone. Numerous other implications of political, social and economical nature ought to be evaluated using relevant cases of the peripheral countries. This essay will attempt to assess some of these implications referring primarily to Greece, Ireland and Italy, with brief allusions to Portugal and Spain, with use of contrast to reflect on the future outlook of the Eurozone.

In the early 2000’s the Euro was a strong and stable currency. This was manifested in the development of wide and deep corporate bond markets, an increase in the use of the euro as a reserve currency by central banks and sovereign debt levels did not differ much across the member states (Allen & Ngai, p.1, 2012). Following the global recession the Eurozone found itself in a sovereign debt crisis and was faced with the difficult decision of whether to allow member states default on their debt. In 2010 the international financial markets expressed serious



Bibliography: Allen, F. & Ngai, V. (2012) “In What Form Will the Eurozone Emerge from the Crisis” (University of Pennsylvania) Armingeon, K Baldwin, R. & Wyplosz, C. (2012) “The Economics of European Integration” (Fourth Edition, McGraw-Hill Higher Education) Barber, T BBC (2012) “Greece in crisis: How European debt problems affect you” (Available at: http://www.bbc.co.uk/newsbeat/13856153) BBC (2012) “S&P raises Greece 's credit rating” (Available at: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-20773955) Begg, I. et al. (2011) “European Governance – Impulses for Crisis Prevention” (Europe in Dialogue 2011/2, Bertelsmann Stiftung, Gütersloh/Berlin) Belke, A Charlemagne (2012) “All hope is not lost” (The Economist, available at: http://www.economist.com/news/europe/21568769-euro-has-survived-2012-it-will-be-long-time-it-cured-all-hope-not-lost) Chibber, K Eichengreen, B. (2010) “The breakup of the euro area” (NBER Working Paper 13393, National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge/MA) Eichengreen, B Feldstein, M. (1997) “EMU and international conflict” (Foreign Affairs., 76, 60) Feldstein, M Inman, P. (2012) “Social unrest on the rise in Europe, says ILO report” (The Guardian, available at: http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2012/apr/29/social-unrest-europe-cuts-strikes) Johnson, S Kirkup, J. (2011) “Prepare for riots in euro collapse, Foreign Office warns” (The Telegraph, available at: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/8917077/Prepare-for-riots-in-euro-collapse-Foreign-Office-warns.html) Nelson, R M Northedge, R. (2011) “Euro crisis spreads – and Italy could be next” (The Independent, available at: http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/analysis-and-features/euro-crisis-spreads-ndash-and-italy-could-be-next-2314889.html) Perissich, R RSM Tenon (2011) “Mirror, mirror on the wall, will the Euro stay or fall?” Taylor, S Verhofstadt, G. (2012) “Germany knows way to solve crisis” (Financial Times, 29, available at: http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/analysis-and-features/euro-crisis-spreads-ndash-and-italy-could-be-next-2314889.html) Verney, S Wright, T. (2012) “What if Europe fails” (The Washington Quarterly, 35:3 pp.23-41) Young, B

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