TERRORISM IN PAKISTAN: CHANGING INCIDENT PATTERNS
Syed Ejaz Hussain
Deputy Inspector General of Pakistan Police
University of Pennsylvania
Support for this research was provided by the Fulbright Commission through grant number
15064308. Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations in this document are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect views of the Fulbright Commission. An earlier version of this paper was presented at the American Society of Criminology meeting at
Philadelphia, Nov 4-7, 2009. I would like to thank Professors Randall Collins, Paul Rock, and
John MacDonald for their helpful comments on the earlier drafts. I also acknowledge the use of
Global Terrorism Database, START / CETIS, which I accessed via Global Terrorism Database
CD, June 2007 edition.
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TERRORISM IN PAKISTAN: CHANGING INCIDENT PATTERNS
With varying motives, using the newest weapons, engulfing a wider area, and claiming more lives, terrorism in Pakistan has attracted considerable local and global attention. Existing literature covers many topics but no study specifically addresses temporal and spatial incident patterns, patterns in weapon use and target selection, and distribution of terrorist types. Lack of comprehensive analysis limits our ability to formulate and test hypotheses, to do operational planning, and to develop counterterrorism policy. Using data from the GTD, this paper describes empirically the incident patterns of terrorism in Pakistan from 1974 to 2007 in a multidimensional way: temporal and spatial patterns, patterns in target types, weapon types, terrorist types and the patterns pre and post U.S-led invasions of Afghanistan and Iraq. The study offers new insights about the measurement of terrorism, the definition of the terrorists, the cyclical nature of terrorism, the role of conflict, the choice of weapon, the sponsorship of terrorism, the selection of targets, and the dynamic and reactionary nature of
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