This industry has seen very limited growth since 1986. Based on Exhibit 4 (C-271, the total wine consumption in the US) and Exhibit 5 (C-271, per capita wine consumption in the US) the wine industry is in the maturity stage. It could even be argued that is entering the decline stage. However, if looking at the last 5 years alone there may still be some potential for growth within the industry.
There appeared to be a jump in the growth curve from 1984-88 due to the introduction of wine coolers. There was also another short growth period resulting from the "booming stock market of the 90's and busy lifestyles" that contributed to more wine sales. The bottom line for the wine industry however is that both volume and per capita consumption has stagnated after growing to a peak of nearly 600 million gallons in 1986. This is evidence that the supply has outrun the demand and subsequently the profit margin of winemakers is decreasing. The following table shows the decline in growth rate of the retail value of US wine sales. It also compares the annual percent growth in retail value to the annual percent increase in production.
The next issue to investigate is the importance of technology in this industry. Winemaking is not a new industry. It is a time tested process; however science can be a big factor in making a time intensive process easier and cheaper. There is also a possibility that winemakers could offer more flavors.
The process technology can be a factor.