CHAPTER 12 RISK TOPICS AND REAL OPTIONS IN CAPITAL BUDGETING FOCUS Traditional capital budgeting techniques compute point estimates of NPV and IRR with no measure of variability. Hence they don’t give managers the information necessary to include a tradeoff between risk and expected return in their decisions. This chapter is concerned with modern approaches to incorporating risk into capital budgeting. The techniques considered include probabilistic cash flows‚ risk adjusted discount rates
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help non-accountants better interpret information and constructively question recommendations received from their accounts so as to make the appropriate investment decision as opposed to just doing what they are told by the accountant. (B) Calculate the payback period for project A. Payback period is defined as the amount of time it takes for a project to pay for itself or the length of time it take to recover the cost of an investment. PROJECT A Initial Investment: The amount of money
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sheet‚ which has been set up in a dynamic approach. This means that the four underlying scenarios (25 years with and without tax and 15 years with and without tax) are linked to separate sheets‚ which enables the user of the model to calculate the net present value (NPV) for the different scenarios with ease. This is why we refrain from explaining every single step of the underlying calculation. In order to get a more detailed understanding of the various calculations‚ the reader of this analysis is
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and the assessment of the likelihood of project success (d) the measurement and interpretation of project value at risk Establish the potential economic return using IRR and modified IRR & advise on a projects return margin. Discuss merits of NPV & IRR. Discounted cash flow techniques are also extensively examined in the context of business valuations (business valuations are covered in chapters 9-12). Slow Fashions - 20 marks‚ June 09 Your business - 28 marks‚ June 09 Seal
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three years‚ which projects would you accept? “A‚ B‚ C” All the projects meet the given cutoff period‚ thus‚ every project (A‚ B‚ C) is acceptable. (In terms of NPV‚ since B has the highest NPV‚ B is the best option.) d. If the opportunity cost of capital is 10%‚ which projects have positive NPVs? “B & C” have the positive NPV at the capital cost of 10%. e.“If a firm uses a single cutoff period for all projects‚ it is likely to accept too many short- lived projects.” True or false?
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change? Explain. Question 2 If Venerus implements the suggested methodology‚ what will be the adjusted discount rate for the Red Oak project (USA) and the Lal Plr project (Pakistan)? Question 3 Calculate the effect that a revision of its cost of capital will have on the Lal Plr project’s NPV. Comment on the results. Case 3: Globalizing the Cost of Capital and Capital Budgeting at AES Q.1 At the AES corporation capital budgeting was historically a very simple method‚ that was used
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D. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. INVESTMENT APPRAISAL The nature of investment decisions and the appraisal process Non-discounted cash flow techniques Discounted cash flow techniques Allowing for inflation and taxation in DCF Adjusting for risk and uncertainty in investment appraisal Specific investment decisions (lease or buy; asset replacement‚ capital rationing) The Nature of Investment Decisions and the Appraisal Process What is an investment? An investment is any expenditure in the expectation of
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and the net present value criterion respectively. You can then pick and choose between the remaining sections depending on your time constraint and interest in the subject. Each of the special topics is briefly described below. Students will find NPV to be one of the most powerful tools of the course. You will notice that this chapter does not derive the rate of time preference; instead‚ it introduces students to financial decision-making. Students should have no problem comprehending the trade-off
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ACADEMIC YEAR 2015 / 2016 TUTORIAL 9 Learning Outcome:- On completion of this unit‚ a student shall be able to: Explain the role of capital budgeting techniques in the capital budgeting process. Calculate‚ interpret and evaluate payback period‚ net present value‚ profitability index and internal rate of return. 9-1 What are the most commonly used capital budgeting procedures? Why is capital-budgeting decision so important? Why are capital-budgeting
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Find the interest rate return that you would receive as your investment return rate. • Capital Budget Planning - Go through the capital budget process so that you make the best economic decision. • Discounted Cash Flow Analysis - When you calculate IRR you will have one number for an objective comparison between capital projects. • Investment Calculator - Determine if a potential investment is a good choice or not. • Compound Rate of Return - Understand the compounding effect of interest
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