Forecasting exchange rate volatility: The superior performance of conditional combinations of time series and option implied forecasts☆ Guillermo Benavides a‚⁎‚ Carlos Capistrán b a b Banco de México‚ Mexico Bank of America Merrill Lynch‚ Mexico article info Article history: Received 26 February 2010 Accepted 5 July 2012 Available online 16 July 2012 Keywords: Composite forecasts Forecast evaluation GARCH Implied volatility Mexican peso–U.S. dollar exchange rate Regime switching
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married is declining at an unprecedented rate. In 1970‚ there were approximately 76.5 marriages for every 1000 unmarried women under the age of 15. By the year 2000‚ the marriage rate dramatically decreased to only 44.5‚ and 8 years later‚ the marriage rate hit an all- time low at 34.8 marriages for every 1000 unmarried women. (Lee). The future of marriage looks to either become completely obsolete‚ or of utmost meaning‚ due to the decline of the marriage rate over the course of the last 30 years‚ due
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depreciates against the Japanese yen. The change in exchange rate a) Can have a significant economic consequences for U.S. firms. b) Can have a significant economic consequences for Japanese firms. c) Can have a significant economic consequences for both U.S. and Japanese firms. d) None of the above Answer: c) 2. Suppose the U.S. dollar substantially depreciates against the Japanese yen. The change in exchange rate a) Will tend to weaken the competitive position of import-competing
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The three year zero rate is 7% per annum and the four year zero rate is 7.5% pa (both continuously compounded). What is the one year (continuously compounded) forward rate starting in three years’ time? (2 marks) With the formula with continuously compounded‚ = =0.09 =9% The one year forward rate starting in three years’ time is 9% 1. The zero rate curve is flat at 6% pa with semi-annual compounding. What is the value of a FRA where the holder receives interest at the rate of 8% per annum with
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Exchange rates have a seemingly direct effect on the price of imports and exports. The concept of the pass-through effect relates to the degree by which a currency fluctuates and the impact this has on import and export prices in the market. Exchange rate pass-through refers to the percent change in the exchange rate between the exporting and importing countries. The degree to which different currencies fluctuate against each other and against various imports and exports is an entirely different
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days or weeks. According to the fundamental analysis‚ the euro exchange rates are expected to depreciate in the long-run. Although there was a short uptrend during last week‚ which was driven by yields‚ the investors worry more about deflation and the euro’s resilience. What’s more‚ the ECB rates are highly expected to be cut after ECB’s policy meeting on Thursday. The market is expecting a 25bps reduction in the benchmark rate to 0.50% from the current 0.75%. During the last week‚ many weak economic
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Class Time on Thursday‚ 7/18 1. | London | New York | Spot Exchange Rate ($/GBP) | 1.3264 | 1.3264 | Interest Rates | 3.900% | 4.500% | Expected Inflation Rates | 0.650% | 1.250% | a. What is the expected rate of inflation in London? iPC - iBC = PC - BC 4.500% - 3.900% =1.250% - BC PC = 0.650% b. Using Uncovered Interest Rate Parity‚ what is the value of the expected spot exchange rate in two years? E(ST) = S0 * [(1+i)/(1+i*)]T E(S2) = 1.3264 * [(1.045)/(1.039)]2
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Chapter 5 : Interet rates Page161 Interest rate quotes and adjustments 5-1. Your bank is offering you an account that will pay 20% interest in total for a two-year deposit. Determine the equivalent discount rate for a period length of a. Six months. b. One year. c. One month. a. Since 6 months is [pic] of 2 years‚ using our rule [pic] So the equivalent 6 month rate is 4.66%. b. Since one year is half of 2 years [pic] So the equivalent 1 year rate is 9.54%. c. Since
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Teletech Case 15 1. How does Teletech Corporation currently use the hurdle rate? Teletech Corporation currently uses a single hurdle rate for both of their divisions. The divisions are Telecommunications Services and Products and Services. They use the hurdle rate based on the cost of capital which is a rough estimate of the Teletech’s WACC. They calculate it at 9.3% based on the cost of capital‚ beta‚ and WACC. 2. Please estimate the segments WACCs for Teletech (see worksheet Exhibit 1)
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MaxiFlow and $95 for Alaska. Auerbach Enterprises uses machine hours as the cost driver to assign overhead costs to the air conditioners. The company has used a company-wide predetermined overhead rate in past years‚ but the new controller‚ Bennie Leon‚ is considering the use of departmental overhead rates beginning with the next year. The following planning information is available for the next year for each the four manufacturing departments within the company:
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