Real Option Memo To: Dave Jacobs From: James Jones Date: November 26‚ 2012 Re: College Education Intro and type of flexibility with this option The option I’m going to discuss in this memo is whether I should continue on with my college career year after year‚ or just to abandon receiving a higher education and make my part time job a full time job. From the 7S framework‚ my real option would be the Disinvest/Shrink then the scope down option (abandon). Sources of uncertainty There
Free Full-time Part-time Option
Practice Questions-“Real Options” Some questions may require you to use financial calculator or Excel. (In the final exam‚ for students without financial calculator‚ writing down the formula will be enough. However‚ those formulas must be correct to get full credit. Therefore‚ it is a good practice to check whether you are correct by using Excel for these practice questions) 1. How are real options different from financial options? 2. Consider the following project data: (1) A
Premium Net present value Cash flow
Laura Martin: Real Options and the Cable Industry Group 13 Adarsh N (60) Gaurav Chand (82) Hemant Kumar (83) Prateek Gupta (99) Rohan Gupta (104) Sahil Jindal (105) Individual Contribution: 16.67% for all group members Strategic Financial Management Prof. K . Sudershan Ques 1. What is the role of Laura Martin? Consider the multiples analysis developed in Exhibits 2‚ 5 & 6. What assumptions does this analysis rely upon? Role: Laura Martin is a sell-side equity analyst at
Premium Option Discounted cash flow
development of Antamina mine a real option? Compare it to a financial option. The Antamina mine case can be modeled as a real option. An option in financial terms is the right to buy/sell something‚ it is not mandatory to buy/sell‚ is a choice that the owner can do. If you can earn with the exercise of the option‚ you use your right‚ but if it is not the case you simply do not utilize it. In this way the return derived from an option is asymmetric. In real term an option is defined as the flexibility
Premium Option
Multiples versus DCF analysis Multiples analysis is simple to understand and apply. The inputs for the multiple arepublicly available‚ though are vulnerable to accounting manipulation. Also‚ it isdifficult to obtain a truly comparable large sample of firms. Multiples analysis isbackward-looking‚ reliant on historical/current data to obtain multiples. It reflectsrelative value rather than the intrinsic value which DCF valuation produces.DCF analysis generates an intrinsic value as it relies on data
Premium Discounted cash flow Regression analysis Option
today’s will provide an inappropriate tool to anticipate shifts in the business environment. Shell uses scenario analysis which are not projections‚ predictions‚ or preferences; rather‚ they are coherent and credible alternative stories about the future. These scenarios will enable managers to (1) help identify options in the future‚ (2) help time the decision to exercise the real option and (3) can provide an important input in the process of evaluating it. Scenario planning differs fundamentally
Premium Option Discounted cash flow Corporate finance
Question 1 What are the tradeoffs in using Multiples versus DCF analysis? DCF Valuation 1. Forecast revenue for each year for from the firm’s financial data. 2. Select appropriate discount rate based on WACC 3. Discount each cashflow back to it present value 4. Obtain the terminal value through an application of terminal value multiple 5. You add these values together 6. Using this method‚ Martin calculates the price of Cox’s share to be $54.29 Multiple Valuation: 1. Identify comparable
Premium Discounted cash flow Option Fundamental analysis
A09-05-0018 Eskandar Tooma Aliaa I. Bassiouny Valuation of an Increased Capacity Project Using Real Option Analysis: The Case of Savola Sime Egypt “Our profits almost doubled last financial year; however‚ I don’t think we can expect the same increase this year‚” said Karim Reda‚ production manager for Savola Sime Egypt‚ in September 1997. “We simply don’t have the capacity to produce more.” He was speaking to Mohamed Sallam‚ CFO of Savola. Over the past month‚ Sallam’s office had witnessed extensive
Premium Corporate finance Net present value Cash flow
TITLE: MW Petroleum Corporation: A Valuation Approach on Real Assets ABSTRACTOR SUMMARY Valuation is the estimation of an asset’s value‚ whether real or financial‚ based on variables perceived to be related to future investment returns‚ on comparison with similar assets‚ or‚ when relevant‚ on estimates of immediate liquidation proceeds (Pinto‚ Henry‚ Robinson‚ Stowe; 2010). Correct valuation of real assets can present challenges to financial analysts. Different models can be used to arrive at
Premium Discounted cash flow Investment
any point "failure‚" investment decision is to stop funding Assuming Standard deviation of 0.5 Using T= 7 years in Black-Scholes Valuation 2 Decision Tree See worksheet "Decision Tree" 3 Detailed description of Real Option Technique "First‚ using a decision tree‚ I came up with a simple expected value of $13‚980‚000 based on the costs to complete each phase‚ the probabilities of completing each phase‚ and the costs and probabilities associated with failure
Premium Decision theory Probability theory Decision tree