rights‚ the NPV would be -$8.42M loss per-film (see Appendix 1). Calculation Details We assume that Arundel Partners will purchase a portfolio of films similar to one used in the analysis. The average hypothetical net inflow of the sequel ($21.57M) is used to figure out the value of the state variable for the real options model. The state variable is the average hypothetical net inflow of the sequel‚ discounted using a WACC of 12.36% back to 1989. Discounting back to 1989 is important because this
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Real Options The standard net present values (NPV) analysis of capital budgeting values a project by discounting its expected cash flows at a risk-adjusted cost of capital. This technique is by far the most widely used technique for evaluating capital projects. However‚ standard NPV analysis does not take account of the flexibility inherent in the capital budgeting process. Part of the complexity of the capital budgeting process is that we can change our decision dynamically‚ depending on the
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Antamina a real option? In what way is the bidding structure put in place by the Peruvian government an option? The mine had a valuable real option component‚ in the form of the right to develop the mine after completing exploration. The Peruvian government requested the bidders to state both the premium that they would pay and exercise price (development expenditure) they would set for this real option. What is the correspondence between these real options and financial options? Theoretically
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Information Technology Management from 1960-2000 By Richard L. Nolan - IT ( Information Technology. Digital convergence in data‚ voice and‚ video - new functions were continuously assigned to the computer due to organizational learning - IT became an information revolution that changed the way companies worked Stages Theory of IT Management - Four stages of organizational learning on an S-shaped Curve o Stage I: Initiation ( proving the value of the technology
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changing aspects of our present environment. Scenario planning is a disciplined method for imagining possible futures that companies have applied to a great range of issues. It goes further than other plans‚ such as contingency planning and sensitivity analysis. These plans always focus on one variable whereas scenario concerns about various variables at the same time. Overall‚ scenario planning attempts to capture the richness and range of possibilities‚ stimulating decision makers to consider changes
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case 2 Issues Raised Drug development issues – selecting a portfolio of products In-house versus Licensing issues Types of risks – Target risk‚ Mechanism risk‚ Molecule risk‚ Market risk Real options analysis Team 2 - Vertex Pharmaceuticals case 3 Which of the 4 project portfolio options currently facing Vertex do you favor? VX-148: least scientific sizzle (IMPDH is a ‘validated target’; Vertex wants breakthroughs)‚ already similar drugs on market‚ 2.7 million people affected by
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CAPACITY PLANNING Real Options Analysis Practice Questions and Solutions CAPACITY PLANNING Question 1: PROJECT SABLE Use a 30% per year discount rate to evaluate Project Sable‚ which has two phases. You may invest in the first‚ in both or in neither. You may not invest in the second phase without investing in the first. Phase 1 requires an investment of $100. One year later the project delivers on the average $120. At that time‚ after the phase 1 payout has been received‚ you may invest
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the following data and analysis for your review. In order for you to make a more informed decision‚ we have also provided recommendations for this endeavor based off our findings. Throughout the entirety of this report‚ we have taken many different approaches to better survey this idea so you can make a more informed decision. We have formatted this formal report to be easy to understand‚ as well as‚ comprehensive. Analysis Methods Net Present Value Decision Tree Analysis Black-Scholes Model
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Parity 3 Limitations of Analysis 4 Research Process: Microsoft 5 Research Process: Apple 6 Results and Conclusion 7 Reference List 8 Attachments 1. Introduction The most common definition of an option is an agreement between two parties‚ the option seller and the option buyer‚ whereby the option buyer is granted a right (but not an obligation)‚ secured by the option seller‚ to carry out some operation (or exercise the option) at some moment in the future. Options come in several varieties:
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Differences between APV and option valuation Valuing MW Acquisition by using APV method assumes in practice that exploiting of all MW’s reserves is certain and happens right after the acquisition. In other words‚ the APV method excludes the flexibility in future decision making. In this case‚ Apache has both an option to defer the exploiting of reserves into future and Apache may also choose not to exploit the MW reserves at all. As some of MW’s reserves are actually real options‚ the APV valuation method
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