April 2010 ‘The problems of Monte Carlo Simulation’ by David Nawrocki This article describes the problems associated with using the Monte Carlo Simulation Model as a tool for determining future investment outcomes for investors. The tool is widely used by Financial Advisors as a means of showing investors future returns on investments. The article discusses why the use of Monte Carlo Simulation in financial planning is difficult and can lead to incorrect decisions which can have a detrimental
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ANC Introduction: Headlines: • Typhoon ‘Lawin’ gets stronger‚ heads far northern Luzon • Eye of ’Lawin’ to spare northern Luzon: PAGASA • CebuPac cancels 4 Caticlan flights • ’Lawin’ slightly weakens Reporter 1: Typhoon ‘Lawin’ gets stronger‚ heads far northern Luzon Typhoon “Lawin” sped up slightly as it continued its movement towards the northern Philippines‚ the state weather bureau said. At 4 p.m. Wednesday‚ the eye of the supertyphoon was plotted by satellite and surface data at
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LECTURE 3 CASH BUDGETING CLASS QUESTION 1 Alberta Limited needs a cash budget for the month of November. The following information is available: The cash balance on November 1 is $6‚000. Sales for October and November are $80‚000 and $60‚000 respectively. Cash collections on sales are 30 percent in the month of sale‚ 65 percent in the following month‚ and 5 percent uncollectible. General expenses are budgeted to be $23‚000 for November. Inventory purchases will total $30‚000 in October and
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Linear Modeling Project The purpose of this experiment is to determine whether a player’s statistics in baseball are related to the player’s salary. The sample set was taken out of 30 players who were randomly selected from the top 100 fantasy baseball players in 2007. We displayed the information with a scatter plot‚ and then determined with a linear equation the line of best fit. Along with the line of best fit we are going to analyze the Pearson Correlation Coefficient. This value is represented
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Case Forecasting Beer Demand at Anadolu Efes Murat Köksalan Department of Industrial Engineering‚ Middle East Technical University‚ Ankara 06531‚ Turkey koksalan@ie.metu.edu.tr Selin Özpeynirci ˙ ˙ Department of Industrial Systems Engineering‚ Izmir University of Economics‚ Izmir 35330‚ Turkey‚ selin.ozpeynirci@ieu.edu.tr Haldun Süral Department of Industrial Engineering‚ Middle East Technical University‚ Ankara 06531‚ Turkey sural@ie.metu.edu.tr Key words: forecasting; regression
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SIAM REVIEW Vol. 47‚ No. 4‚ pp. 775–798 c 2005 Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics Modeling Basketball Free Throws∗ Joerg M. Gablonsky† Andrew S. I. D. Lang‡ Abstract. This paper presents a mathematical model for basketball free throws. It is intended to be a supplement to an existing calculus course and could easily be used as a basis for a calculus project. Students will learn how to apply calculus to model an interesting real-world problem‚ from problem identification all the
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COMPARISMS OF OPTIMIZATION STRATEGIES FOR THE TRAVELLING SALESMAN PROBLEM Department of Information Systems and Computing B.Sc. (Hons) Computer Science‚ Artificial Intelligence Academic Year 2012-2013 Comparison of Optimization Strategies for the Travelling Salesman Problem Adewale Oluwaseun Mako (0941620) A Report Submitted in the partial fulfilment of the requirement for the degree of Bachelor of Science Brunel University Department of Information Systems and Computing Uxbridge
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ICS 2307 SIMULATION AND MODELLING Course Outline Systems modelling – discrete event simulation Design of simulation experiments simulation Language probability and distribution theory Statistical estimation‚ inference and random number generators Sample event sequences for random number generation Translation of models for simulation application References Simulation modelling and analysis Introduction Computers can be used to imitate (simulate) the operations of various kinds of real
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Introduction to Structural Equation Modeling (Path Analysis) SGIM Precourse PA08 May 2005 Jeffrey L. Jackson‚ MD MPH Kent Dezee‚ MD MPH Kevin Douglas‚ MD William Shimeall‚ MD MPH Traditional multivariate modeling (linear regression‚ ANOVA‚ Poisson regression‚ logistic regression‚ proportional hazard modeling) is useful for examining direct relationships between independent and dependent variables. All share a common format: Dependent Variable = Independent variable1 + Independent Variable2 + Independent
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Modeling Gasoline Demand in the United States Economics 375 DePaul University‚ Chicago‚ IL 60601 June 13‚ 2012 Abstract This paper is an econometric approach to the estimation of price and income elasticities of gasoline demand in the United States from a translog model‚ and is based off of the most recent data available for use. This approach allows for variables to interact in a flexible yet instrumental way‚ providing for significant evidence that gasoline demand elasticities are construed
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