Financial Planning and Policy for Large
Corporations
Fall 2014
Getting Started
Introduction to Valuation
Major Investment Decisions
Project Valuation
Find growth potential inside the firm
Enterprise Valuation
Find growth potential outside the firm
Dealing with Complexity
Investment Evaluation Process
Case Study: CP3 Pharmaceuticals
Laboratories Inc.
Valuation
The objective of a firm is to create wealth by initiating and managing investments that generate future cash flows that are worth more than the amount invested.
Management’s goal is to avoid decision errors based on flawed or incomplete analysis
Valuation provides tools for the evaluation of new investment opportunities
More than discounting cash flows
Effective valuation analysis involves a disciplined
3-phase investment evaluation process
Investments that Create Value
Invest $100 million today in a project that generates a stream of cash flows valued at $150 million. Investment generates an incremental $50 million in wealth for its shareholders.
The project has a net present value (NPV) of $50 million.
Input
$100 M
Output
Project
$150 M
Value Created = $150M - $100M = $50
How is this possible?
Investments that Destroy Value
DaimlerChrysler formed by the $36 billion acquisition of Chrysler by Germany's Daimler-Benz in 1998
Net cash outflows, restructuring payments
Chrysler “bleeding cash and unlikely to become profitable under the bestcase scenario until 2009”
2007 Cerberus Capital Management acquisition of
80% of Chrysler for $7.4 billion
According to one analyst, "Daimler is basically paying Cerberus to get rid of it.“
More trouble in July 2007 with the debt capital market crunch
Trouble in syndication - J.P. Morgan Chase, Bear Stearns and
Morgan Stanley asked Cerberus and DaimlerChrysler AG, to pay higher interest rates and change the convents.
Investments that Destroy Value
Over half of all large investment projects fail to