Preview

Explain The Prediction Problem According To Walker

Satisfactory Essays
Open Document
Open Document
290 Words
Grammar
Grammar
Plagiarism
Plagiarism
Writing
Writing
Score
Score
Explain The Prediction Problem According To Walker
1. What is the prediction problem according to Walker?

According to Walker, the prediction problem dives into a series of different questions. For example, he states discretionary decisions involve predictions about that person involved: as a citizen on the street, a suspect, a defendant, as a convicted offender, and as a prisoner. The author later states, “How do we know which convicted offenders are safe to place on probation? How do we know which offenders should go to prison?” Furthermore, what Walker is questioning is the issue that should we keep predicting these discretionary decisions or base them off the facts. 2. How does the age-crime relationship link to the prediction problem?

The age-crime relationship links to the prediction

You May Also Find These Documents Helpful

  • Better Essays

    Koror Jail Rehabilitation

    • 1577 Words
    • 7 Pages

    offenders could learn from the mistakes of those that have come before them and make a…

    • 1577 Words
    • 7 Pages
    Better Essays
  • Satisfactory Essays

    The longitudinal birth cohort was used to examine a drift among a insignificant percentage of career criminals who recital for the biggest pay of crime activity. The tendency demonstrate a new phenomenon among wonted offenders. Quantitative examination was concluded on 9,945 juvenile jack offenders between the ages of 10 and 18 in the 1970s. This appearance was later researched among an grow population in 1977 and resulted in resembling findings. The same 6% of inborn offenders explanation for 71% of the kill and 69% of the intensified descent. The miracle indicated that only 6% of the youth qualified under their demarcation of a consuetudinary criminal (given today as life-road persistent offenders, or career criminals) and yet were responsible…

    • 211 Words
    • 1 Page
    Satisfactory Essays
  • Better Essays

    This one problem has led to additional problems both inside correctional facilities and outside in society. For example, when overcrowding occurs and is capped at the state level, prisoners sentenced to the department of corrections remain in the county jail until a bed becomes available but in most cases the county jails are full. In many instances, the jails are under a court order capping jail population, and pressure is brought to bear on the court system to reduce the flow of offenders sentenced to incarceration. As a result, more serious offenders with fewer convictions or career criminals who manage the system effectively are given probation, and first offenders and less serious offenders with longer records are incarcerated (Muraskin & Roberts, Pg.…

    • 1193 Words
    • 5 Pages
    Better Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    The rise in the sentenced population in the United States shows that the number of persons sentenced to probation, parole, prison, and jail has risen to record levels, although there has been slowing prison growth since 2006. This leveling-off still results in record prison populations, but the rate at which offenders are sentenced to prison is declining slightly, primarily due to the state budget problems and also severe prison overcrowding in many locations (Albanese, 2013).…

    • 1665 Words
    • 5 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Good Essays

    The Evolution of Risk Instruments have been used since the early 1980’s. The Post Conviction Risk Assessment also known as “PCRA,” was developed by the Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts. The PCRA was created because 5 districts out of 16 chose to use a commercially available risk and needs tool. The AO got together with developers build the tool we call today PCRA specifically for federal probation. This tool was developed between October 1, 2005 and August 13, 2009. In the past few years social science has helped to discover a way to reduce the levels of recidivism. Using the method of PCRA, this greatly helps probation officers distinguish dangerous high risk offenders from low risk offenders. This assessment is done to keep communities…

    • 1090 Words
    • 5 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    Bower, B. (2007, November). Crime growth: early mental ills fuel young-adult offending. ScienceNews, 172, 308.…

    • 1525 Words
    • 5 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Satisfactory Essays

    It is shown that fifty seven percent of people in the corrections system are on probation, while eleven percent are on parole, eleven percent are still in jail, and twenty one percent are still in prison. Of the fifty seven percent on probation, three quarters of those will end up back in the prison system before their probationary period is over. Sixty five percent of convicted felons do…

    • 405 Words
    • 2 Pages
    Satisfactory Essays
  • Good Essays

    The majority perception of probation and parole is that it`s too lenient options in the US criminal justice system. Statistically, prison population is decreasing while probation and parole is constantly rising. Many may have concern as to why this is occurring. Some question the rehabilitation in probation and parole because so many offenders are being released to communities without much supervision. The Bureau of Justice Statistics informs that in 2009 probation numbers increased from 1,118,000 to 4,270,917, and parole increased from 220,400 to 828,169 (Pinkard, 2013). However, as these numbers continue to increase the structure of how probation and parole work are changing through technology.…

    • 410 Words
    • 2 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Good Essays

    Law and order are two words that keep our society from collapsing on its self. We the American people have our freedom to do what ever we want; we can purse any career, go down to your favorite restaurant and order whatever you want. We have these freedoms because people fought for them many years ago, so that we wouldn’t be under rule or dictatorship. Many people take our freedom for granted and end up on probation, in jail, or prison. In this paper I will be outlining the case of Kris, and his probation officer’s view. I will also develop a profile for a perfect candidate to participate in an intensive supervised probation program. I will defend the strategy of matching inmates to a correctional facility and critique whether the programs and amenities geared toward the prisoners are effective.…

    • 1136 Words
    • 4 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    Dangerousness Essay

    • 2561 Words
    • 11 Pages

    4. Craissati J (2007) The paradoxical effects of stringent risk management. In Padfield. N (eds) Who to release? Parole, fairness and criminal justice.(pp215-27) Cullompton: Willan.…

    • 2561 Words
    • 11 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Satisfactory Essays

    At the felony sentencing hearing, the prosecution makes a recommendation of punishment, and the defendant usually argues for leniency. The Supreme Court’s decisions that struck down state and federal criminal sentencing guidelines have caused a cascade of prediction of disaster. Shephard shows in his study how sentencing guidelines have actually increased crime and not decreased crime. It has also been shown that in a landmark Blakely and Booker…

    • 419 Words
    • 2 Pages
    Satisfactory Essays
  • Good Essays

    The age-crime curve shows that criminal behavior begins during childhood, peaks during adolescence, and wanes down from early adulthood onward which explains why age-graded social roles cause crime to…

    • 582 Words
    • 3 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    For example, Jordon (2011) concluded that youth transferred into adult court have a lower probability of re-arrest than those who remain in juvenile court. The study showed that there were limitations to prior research including hidden bias, indicating that the results were incorrect. If the prior studies revealed statistics that had biased results, we can confidently reexamine the effectiveness of juvenile transfer and discover other studies which attempt to correct the mistakes of prior research. According to Jordon’s study, statistics conclude that juveniles who are placed into the adult court have a higher likelihood of successfully reintegrating into the community as compared to those who remain in the juvenile court. “Using the same analysis, this study found that the average recidivism rate for decertified youth is 0.70 and 0.56 for non-decertified youth. The result is statistically significant (p50.05), suggesting that decertified youth are more likely to recidivate than nondecertified youth.” (Jordon 2011 p. 60). After examining the differences of the various studies that have been conducted, we see that perhaps the effectiveness is based on an individual basis more than a general success rate. For instance, the results of the studies might differ due to the fact that juveniles are so diverse and have many varying characteristics, which needs to be…

    • 1466 Words
    • 6 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Better Essays

    In a powerful essay concerning prison’s deterrence of crime, Joel Waldfogel claims, “the likelihood being sentenced to prison jumps from 3 percent to 17 percent at exactly 18.” Despite this large change, offenses from teens aging 17 to 19 remain mostly consistent, which is unusual compared to the assumption that a higher chance of incarceration equals more apprehension towards committing a crime. Waldfogel goes on to state that a whopping one-fifth of people arrested in the weeks before their eighteenth birthday are later rearrested no more than a month later. Putting aside teenagers, looking at statistics from the 1980’s up until now gives some insight on the ineffectiveness of prison threats. There was a brief decrease in the number of crimes committed during the 1980’s when mass incarceration really began taking effect. This is often used to prove that the threat of prison time does in fact lower crime rates; however, the correlation here is offset by the fact that economy was in a stable state during this…

    • 1318 Words
    • 6 Pages
    Better Essays
  • Good Essays

    Body of Paper- When we talk about incarceration rates we may have to go back in time in order to have a better understanding. (Moore, 2008)…

    • 886 Words
    • 4 Pages
    Good Essays