Hernan Briones
Dr. Gregory Treverton, Chairman of the National Intelligence Council (NIC), started his talk by offering a quick overview on how strategic intelligence supports policy making. He explained the basic organization of the NIC and its responsibility with regards to intelligence analysis and being able to foresee the future. More importantly, Dr. Treverton discussed how the NIC provides basic intelligence support to the two main policy making bodies in the United States, the principal?s committee and the deputy?s committee. Furthermore, Dr. Treverton offered his views on what challenges is the United States likely to face for the next two decades.
China will be in the United States agenda very often during the next several years. The country?s economic and political erosion will negatively impact China?s ability to continue its race to global power status. China has been able to maintain its political party dominant because of economic success. However, their expected economic slowdown might push China to take a more active role overseas to maintain populace support at home, like more activity in the South China Sea. Therefore, China?s future could also result in a more active …show more content…
However, the Islamic State?s influence is expected to decrease in the Middle East. Their inability to control key cities, the U.S. efforts targeting their financial resources, and the population?s increased discontent with their methods and ideals are some of the reasons why the Islamic State is declining in the Middle East. Nevertheless, a decline does not mean eradication, IS will become something else that will continue to pose a threat to the United States and neighboring countries. The critical challenge in the Middle East is being able to effectively contain the threat to prevent IS from operating in Europe and the United