Six-Game Compensation Case Study
In 2016, Fantasy managers had to make key decisions, none more perplexing than when they might be willing to pull the trigger to draft players like Patriots QB Tom Brady and Steelers RB Le'Veon Bell. Both players entered the season under a four game suspension, which certainly diminished their value during the first half of the regular season.
With that said, those managers who were willing to go out on a ledge and draft tme early were handsomely rewarded. Over the last 12 games of the regular season, Brady completed more than 67% of his passes for 3,554 yards and 28 TDs against only 2 interceptions. Likewise with Bell, managers reaped the benefits of 1,984 all-purpose yards and 9 TDs. For many fantasy owners, a little patience was rewarded …show more content…
After amassing 1,631 yards rushing and 15 TDs, there's no doubt Elliot should be a top five pick in every Fantasy Football draft. Unfortunately, he is facing a 6-game suspension for violating the league's personal conduct policy. The main charges stem from domestic violence charges levied by a …show more content…
The risk of drafting him too high translates to missing out on an opportunity to draft a quality, who can make a difference over the entire season. For most Fantasy managers, the price would be too high if they have fallen out of playoff contention because of their decision to wait for an All-Pro running back.
The questions remain, "under what circumstances should one be willing to take the risk associated with drafting Elliot and in what round would doing so make sense?"
In many Fantasy Football formats, running backs seem to fall into high demand. The value and incidence of injury makes them a precious commodity. Under no circumstances should Elliot be the first running back drafted on any team. With that said, he would be a great compliment to any team that has already secured a top five running back with little to no history of injury.
Without a crystal ball to see how a particular draft might fall, it seems drafting Elliot would have the right risk/reward ratio in the fourth or fifth round. Unfortunately, the likelihood he will last that long is quite small. Facing that reality, a winning Fantasy manager will have the discipline to pass on earlier opportunities and play for the best season-long player
With that said, those managers who were willing to go out on a ledge and draft tme early were handsomely rewarded. Over the last 12 games of the regular season, Brady completed more than 67% of his passes for 3,554 yards and 28 TDs against only 2 interceptions. Likewise with Bell, managers reaped the benefits of 1,984 all-purpose yards and 9 TDs. For many fantasy owners, a little patience was rewarded …show more content…
After amassing 1,631 yards rushing and 15 TDs, there's no doubt Elliot should be a top five pick in every Fantasy Football draft. Unfortunately, he is facing a 6-game suspension for violating the league's personal conduct policy. The main charges stem from domestic violence charges levied by a …show more content…
The risk of drafting him too high translates to missing out on an opportunity to draft a quality, who can make a difference over the entire season. For most Fantasy managers, the price would be too high if they have fallen out of playoff contention because of their decision to wait for an All-Pro running back.
The questions remain, "under what circumstances should one be willing to take the risk associated with drafting Elliot and in what round would doing so make sense?"
In many Fantasy Football formats, running backs seem to fall into high demand. The value and incidence of injury makes them a precious commodity. Under no circumstances should Elliot be the first running back drafted on any team. With that said, he would be a great compliment to any team that has already secured a top five running back with little to no history of injury.
Without a crystal ball to see how a particular draft might fall, it seems drafting Elliot would have the right risk/reward ratio in the fourth or fifth round. Unfortunately, the likelihood he will last that long is quite small. Facing that reality, a winning Fantasy manager will have the discipline to pass on earlier opportunities and play for the best season-long player