Literature Review of DCF An important consideration when using the DCF approach to valuation is its validity and usefulness in valuing companies and their stock prices. Various studies have established that a strong correlation between estimated future cash flows and the value of a firm exists (Copeland et al‚ 1994 ; Brealey and Myers ‚ 2000; Jones‚ 1998 ). In their study of 51 highly leveraged transactions (HLTs) ‚ Kaplan and Ruback (1995) found that the valuations using the DCF methods are within
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proportionally with revenue increase‚ thus 9% until year 2019‚ and 4% thereafter Assuming CAPEX grows by 4% annually Terminal value is computed after year 2020 Valuation using the WACC method‚ and assume the cost of capital = 10.25% Valuation using the WACC method Please refer to exhibit DCF Analysis in attached excel file. Results shown in exhibit DCF Analysis‚ with an NPV of 142.2166 million and 9.29 million outstanding shares‚ we compute the share price to be $15.3087. Thus‚ we believe the stock
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BUS 3303 Finance Course review Ale Previtero AGENDA 1. Overview of valuation cases 2. WACC • Cost of equity‚ choosing beta‚ choosing weights‚ when to use premium. 3. Valuation using Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) • Key assumptions‚ Terminal Value‚ sensitivity 4. Valuation using multiples • Key points‚ pros & cons‚ choosing comparable firms • Which multiple? Which year? Example. 5. Financing an Acquisition • Determine price. Financing. Making a decision. 6. Final exam
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In finance‚ the discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis is a method of valuing a project‚ company or asset using the concepts of time value of money (Wikipedia‚ 2004). Three inputs are required to use the DCF‚ also called dividend-yield-plus-growth-rate approach‚ include: the current stock price‚ the current dividend‚ and the marginal investor’s expected dividend growth rate. The stock price and the dividend are east to obtain‚ but the expected growth rate is difficult to estimate (Ehrhardt & Brigham
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TITLE: MW Petroleum Corporation: A Valuation Approach on Real Assets ABSTRACTOR SUMMARY Valuation is the estimation of an asset’s value‚ whether real or financial‚ based on variables perceived to be related to future investment returns‚ on comparison with similar assets‚ or‚ when relevant‚ on estimates of immediate liquidation proceeds (Pinto‚ Henry‚ Robinson‚ Stowe; 2010). Correct valuation of real assets can present challenges to financial analysts. Different models can be used to arrive at
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emphasis on more advanced valuation techniques. While most of her competitors were content with metrics such as EBITDA multiples‚ Martin had chosen to emphasize discounted cash flow analyses and EVA analyses. Recently‚ her attention had shifted to real options analysis as she felt other valuation metrics neglected an important aspect of the cable industry. ROIC Target Price Analysis Using regression analysis‚ Martin analysed the relationship between ROIC and the valuation of cable and entertainment
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the tradeoffs in using Multiples versus DCF analysis? DCF Valuation 1. Forecast revenue for each year for from the firm’s financial data. 2. Select appropriate discount rate based on WACC 3. Discount each cashflow back to it present value 4. Obtain the terminal value through an application of terminal value multiple 5. You add these values together 6. Using this method‚ Martin calculates the price of Cox’s share to be $54.29 Multiple Valuation: 1. Identify comparable firms that have
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Using a WACC of 6.65% and a perpetuity growth rate of 2.84%‚ the DCF analysis yields an enterprise value $12‚797 million for Chipotle‚ with present value of the terminal value accounting for 88.8% of the enterprise value. In a per share basis‚ the DCF analysis values Chipotle at $443.90 per share as December 2016. Furthermore‚ it is important to consider that the price share obtained through the DCF analysis is quite sensitive to the changes in WACC and perpetuity growth rate that
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Professor: José Tudela Martins Students: João Pedro Jesus‚ Maria Kostyunina & Marta Gonçalves Agenda • • • • • • Problem Statement Antamina Project Overview Assumptions Prices Forecast DCF Valuation: 3 Scenarios Options Valuation Real Options Option to Abandon • Re‐valuation according to changes Expropriation Block Funds • Main Conclusions Location of Antamina Problem Statement How much is Antamina worth? Impact of a 5% per year risk of expropriation or a possibility of a two
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management should aim to maximise the difference between the market value and the invested capital (debt + equity); this is known as market value added or MVA. However‚ higher MVA is the result of management action and not a tool in itself. SIMILAR TO DCF where the decisions are done to improve FCF‚ managers take projects with positive NPV. BUT what was needed was a tool that management could use to assess whether a particular action should‚ or should not‚ be taken. Stern Stewart saw EVA as the appropriate
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