Manager’s Guide to Forecasting by David M. Georgoff and Robert G. Murdick Harvard Business Review Reprint 86104 J A N U A RY– F E B R U A RY 1 9 8 6 HBR Manager’s Guide to Forecasting David M. Georgoff and Robert G. Murdick E arly in 1984‚ the Houston-based COMPAQ Computer Corporation‚ manufacturer of IBMcompatible microcomputers‚ faced a decision that would profoundly affect its future. Recognizing that IBM would soon introduce its version of the portable computer and threaten
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comparison of select financial ratios of four companies: two in the manufacturing and two in the retail food industries. The financial ratios analyzed are the current ratio‚ debt ratio‚ profit margin‚ return on assets. I should point out that I used the most recent financial reports provided for each company‚ although in some cases they may not represent the same years. All dollar figures are in thousands. Riordan Manufacturing‚ based in San Diego‚ California‚ is a leading manufacturer in the
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Qualitative Forecasting Approaches Qualitative forecasting methods are based primarily on human judgement. Quantitative forecasting methods are based primarily on the mathematical modelling of historical data. Here we provide a brief overview of the most important qualitative forecasting approaches. In many environments the time horizon is closely linked to the type of forecasting method used. Longer term and higher level forecasting will often require qualitative forecasting techniques. Such techniques
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Systems Thinking and Kaizen: Tools for Hospital Pharmacy Process Improvement Abstract With increasing operation costs‚ patient safety awareness‚ and a shortage of trained personnel‚ it is becoming increasingly important for hospital pharmacy management to make good operational decisions. In the case of hospital inpatient pharmacies‚ making decisions about staffing and work flow is difficult due to the complexity of the
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Case Forecasting Beer Demand at Anadolu Efes Murat Köksalan Department of Industrial Engineering‚ Middle East Technical University‚ Ankara 06531‚ Turkey koksalan@ie.metu.edu.tr Selin Özpeynirci ˙ ˙ Department of Industrial Systems Engineering‚ Izmir University of Economics‚ Izmir 35330‚ Turkey‚ selin.ozpeynirci@ieu.edu.tr Haldun Süral Department of Industrial Engineering‚ Middle East Technical University‚ Ankara 06531‚ Turkey sural@ie.metu.edu.tr Key words: forecasting; regression
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description of forecasting‚ the science of predicting future events. From an operational point of view‚ market opportunities are the driving force behind production decisions and these opportunities are compiled in the form of demand forecasting which then provides the input for planning production: process design‚ capacity planning‚ aggregate planning‚ scheduling‚ and inventory management. But why forecasting is so important for operations? In order to understand the factors of forecasting‚ one should
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Riodan’s Forecasting Technique The demand globally for Riordan’s electric fans would be considered in a 12-month (4 quarter) forecast for a medium-term strategic forecast would be used. Which would show the planning and production scheduling in anticipation of customer demand and product positioning at decoupling points along its global supply chain. The only (one year) sales invoices that were available were the ones from 2005‚ and could be used for the 3-year average sales data to forecast
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Amended Riordan Manufacturing IT Budget CMGT 578 � � Amended Riordan Manufacturing IT Budget The executive board for Riordan has tasked Information Technology with reducing their overall budget by two percent‚ while providing an increase of four percent to hardware line item‚ software line item‚ and outside IT support services. There are many lines within the budget that can be cut immediately to provide the necessary budget cuts‚ but it is important to make sure that none of the services being
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Units (SBU) of KDS Group‚ started its journey in 1993 to become one of the largest trims and packaging manufacturer of Bangladesh. Today KDS Accessories is one of the global contenders in this field while manufacturing many types of products and solutions to support the robust apparel manufacturing sector of the country. The company has already earned the privilege to work with many global brands. Today‚ personnel planning as an important part of an organization. It is a vital ingredient for the success
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the Internet brought on interruption among organizations Defi ne the relationship between the Internet and the World Wide Web Describe the distinctive strategies an association can use to get to data Compare the three unique sorts of specialist co-ops. Problematic TECHNOLOGY Polaroid‚ established in 1937‚ created the main moment camera in the late 1940s. The Polaroid camera was a standout amongst the most energizing innovative advances the photography business had ever
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