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    Supply Chain

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    facility location e. job assignments Forecasts are usually classified by time horizon into three categories a. short-range‚ medium-range‚ and long-range b. finance/accounting‚ marketing‚ and operations c. strategic‚ tactical‚ and operational d. exponential smoothing‚ regression‚ and time series e. departmental‚ organizational‚ and industrial A forecast with a time horizon of about 3 months to 3 years is typically called a a. long-range forecast b. medium-range forecast c. short-range forecast d. weather

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    1. (24 points) If needed‚ additional workspace is provided on the next sheet. Doug Moodie is the president of Garden Products Limited. Over the last 5 years‚ his vice president of marketing has been providing the sales forecast using his special “focus” forecasting technique. The actual sales for the past ten years and the forecasts from the vice president of marketing are given below. |Year |Sales |VP/Marketing

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    estimates of what will happen in the future; this is the main purpose of forecasting. Some firms use subjective methods‚ seat-of-the pants methods‚ intuition‚ and experience. There are also several quantitative techniques‚ moving averages‚ exponential smoothing‚ trend projections‚ and least squares regression analysis. Eight steps to forecasting: * Determine the use of the forecast—what objective are we trying to obtain? * Select the items or quantities that are to be forecasted

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    Managing and Forecasting

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    Plan (MRP) e. Purchasing and Production Activity Control MANUFACTURING PROCESS MANAGEMENT 1.4 Understand forecasting 1.4.1 Explain methods of forecasting a. Moving Average Forecasting b. Weighted Moving Average Forecasting c. Exponential Smoothing Forecasting 1.4.2 Solve typical problems using above approaches 1.4.3 Determine the forecast errors using a. Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) b. Mean Squared Error (MSE) c. Mean Absolute Percent Error (MAPE) MANAGEMENT Management in

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    BGB’s forecasts of exponential smoothing for number of cases and total expenses in August 2012 for the six types of BGB’s All the data are calculated through Microsoft Excel and results were presented through forecasting

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    Midterm

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    time periods to predict future sales assuming that the closest time period is a more accurate predictor of future sales is:   Student Answer:  Moving average model    Weighted moving average model    Closest moving average model    Exponential smoothing model   Instructor Explanation: Chapter 15‚ Page 236   Points Received: 5 of 5   Comments:  3. Question : (TCO 3) The regression statistic that measures how many standard errors the coefficient is from zero is the ________________  

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    Microsoft Excel Problems

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    a. Use exponential smoothing with a smoothing constant of 0.5 to forecast the population of the United States in 2003. [pic] b. Use exponential smoothing with a smoothing constant of 0.8 to forecast the population of the United States in 2003. c. Which of the two methods provides a more accurate forecast based on the MAD criterion? [pic] 4. Refer to the data provided in problem 1. Using Solver to find the optimal alpha that minimizes MAD‚ use exponential smoothing to forecast

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    H. Wayne Huizenga Graduate School of Business and Entrepreneurship Nova Southeastern University Assignment for Course: QNT5040 – Business Modeling Submitted to: Submitted by: BASS Date of Submission: Title of Assignment: Electric Fan Case - Forecasting CERTIFICATION OF AUTHORSHIP: We certify that we the authors of this paper. Any assistance we received in its preparation is fully acknowledged and disclosed in the paper. We have also cited any sources from which we used data‚ ideas or words

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    Forecasting

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    weighted moving averages‚ exponential smoothing‚ and time series regression. For moving averages and weighted moving averages‚ use only the data for the past three fiscal years. For weighted moving averages‚ assign a value of 1 to the data for 20 X 2‚ a value of 2 to the data for 20 X 3‚ and a value of 3 to the data for 20 X 4. For exponential smoothing‚ assume that the last forecast for fiscal year 20 X 4 was $6‚300‚000. You decide on the alpha to be used for exponential smoothing. For time series regression

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    suitable technique to generate the forecast of unemployment rate using data from the series of Labour Force Surveys. The models understudied are based on Univariate Modelling Techniques i.e. Naïve with Trend Model‚ Average Change Model‚ Double Exponential Smoothing and Holt’s Method Model. These models are normally used to determine the short-term forecasts (one quarter ahead) by analyzing the pattern such as quarterly unemployment rates. The performances of the models are validated by retaining a portion

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