March 6, 2012
AP Gov Per.1
Super Tuesday, the busiest election day of the Republican presidential primary season with nine states voting and a tenth (Alaska) beginning its 18-day caucus period. Tuesday may represent former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney’s last chance to sew up his party’s nomination decisively in advance of the Republican National Convention in August, as well as the possible last stands for his self-styled movement conservative opponents, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich and former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania. But this Super Tuesday may prove considerably less “super,” or at least less momentous, than others in modern electoral memory. In 2008, a record-setting 24 states held presidential nomination contests on February 5, dubbed Super Duper Tuesday at the time for its sheer scale. On the Republican side, Super Duper Tuesday more or less ended the race in Arizona Sen. John McCain’s favor, confirming a result expected since McCain’s hard-fought January victories in New Hampshire, South Carolina and Florida. The GOP map for Tuesday could as easily presage a Romney sweep as a reignited three-way “brawl” heading into further showdowns through the spring. Romney should do well in his adopted home state of Massachusetts as well as in neighboring Vermont and Virginia, where he and libertarian firebrand Rep. Ron Paul of Texas were the only candidates to file successfully. Santorum hopes for momentum restoring wins in Ohio, Oklahoma and Tennessee after a disappointing loss in Michigan. Gingrich has set expectations a bit lower; claiming only that he hopes to win Georgia by a larger margin than Romney won his native Michigan. Romney is competitive in nearly all states that are polled, and a win in Ohio or a southern state like Tennessee can reassure his victory in the republican presidential election. After a three-state drubbing at the hands of Santorum on February 7 and a controversial victory over Paul in Maine, Romney