Preview

Determinants of Private Bank Profitabliy

Powerful Essays
Open Document
Open Document
9805 Words
Grammar
Grammar
Plagiarism
Plagiarism
Writing
Writing
Score
Score
Determinants of Private Bank Profitabliy
Determinants of Private Banks’
Profitability in Ethiopia: Panel Data
Evidence
Yigremachew Benti
Addis Ababa
Email: yigremb@yahoo.com
March 2008
1
Abstract
Using the standard static as well as dynamic models, the study tries to find systematic evidence on the determining factors for the corporate profitability of private commercial banks in Ethiopia. The study utilizes data on balance sheet as well as income statement account items of all the domestic private banks, which have at least been operational since
1999/00 fiscal year. In effect six private commercial banks have been included in this survey.
Regarding the estimation methodology, I employed a static panel data model. However, in order to correct for parameter endogenouty resulting from the likely presence of unobserved bank specific effect and also to address the dynamic relationship, I use the augmented generalized method of moments (GMM) estimator developed by Arellano and Bond (1991) and further developed by Blundell and Bond (1998). As to the econometric software, I make use of STATA to obtain estimates of the static as well as dynamic panel models. All in all, the study results indicate that interest and non-interest incomes and interest expense are the main determining factor for the profitability of private banks in Ethiopia both in static and dynamic conditions. Increase exposure to credit risks has also strong negative impact on profit. The empirical result evident that there is persistence in profitability and speed of adjustment to industry average (equilibrium) is about 16%. On the contrary, market concentration has no significant role on private banks’ profitability. The contribution of other bank level variables (like fixed asset investment, capital adequacy ratio and employees’ productivity) has considerable positive impact on profit. Macroeconomic conditions such as inflation and tax have significant unfavorable impact on operational performances of private



References: Abreu M. & V. Mendes (2002), “Commercial Bank Interest Margins & Profitability: Evidence from EU Countries,” Porto Working Paper Series. Afanasieff T.,P.Lhacer & M.Nakane (2002), “The Determinants of Bank Interest Spread in Brazil,” Banco Central di Brazil Working Papers. Ahn & Schmidt (1995), “Efficient Estimation of Models for Dynamic Panel Data,” Journal of Econometrics 68, 5-28. Akhavein,J.A. (1997), “Empirical Study of A Venture Capital Relationship,” Accounting, Auditing and Accountability Journal, 18(6), 756-783. Anderson,T. & W.,Hsiano,C. (1982), “Formulation & Estimation of Dynamic Models Using Panel Data,” Journal of Econometrics, 18,67-82. Angbazo,L. (1997), “Commercial Banks Net Interest Margins, Default Risk, Interest Rate Risk & Off Balance Sheet Banking,” Journal of Banking & Finance, 21,55-87. Arellano, M. & Bond, S. (1991), “Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence & An Application to Employment Equations,” Review of Economic Arellano, M. & Bover, O. (1995), “Another Look at the Instrument Variables Estimation of Error- Component Models,” Journal of Econometrics, 68, 29-51. Barajas,A.R. Steiner, & N. Salazar (1999), “Interest Spreads in Banking in Colombia 1974- 96,” IMF Staff Papers, 46,196-224. Bashir, A. (2000), “Assessing the Performances of Islamic Banks: Some Evidence From the Middle East,” Paper Presented in at the ERF 8th Meeting in Jordan. Ben Naceur S. & M. Goaied (2001), “The Determinants of the Tunisian Deposit Banks’ Performance,” Applied Financial Economics11, 317-319. Ben Naceur S. (2003), “The determinants of the Tunisian Banking Industry Profitability: Panel Evidence,” Department of Finance Universite’ Libre De Tunis. Berger, A.,D.Hanweck & D.Humphrey (1987), “Competitive Viability in Banking: Scale, Scope & Product Mix Economies,” Journal of Monetary Economics, 20, 501-520. Berger,A.N. (1995), “The Relationship in Banking Tests of Market Power & Efficient Market Hypothesis,” Journal of Money, Credit & Banking,65(3). Blundell, R. & Bond, S. (1998), “Initial Conditions & Moment Restrictions in Dynamic Panel Data Models,” Journal of Econometrics, 87,115-143. Bourke,P. (1989), “Concentration & Other Determinants of Bank Profitability in Europe, North America and Australia,” Journal of Banking & Finance.13,65-79. Brozen,Y. (1982). Concentration, Mergers & Public Policy, New York Macmillan Publishing Company, Inc. Chirwa,E.W. (1998), “Financial Sector Reforms, Monopoly Power & Performance in the Malawian Banking Industry,” African Journal of Economic Policy, 5(2). Demerguc-Kunt,A., Huizinga,H. (2001). Financial Structure & Bank Profitability: A Cross Country Comparison of Banks, Market & Development Demsetz,H. (1973), “Industry Structure, Market Rivalry & Public Policy,” Journal of Law & Economics 16(1). Goddard,J., Molyneux,P.& Wilson,J.O.S. (2004), “The Profitability of European Banks: A Cross Sectional and Dynamic Panel Data Analysis,” Manchester Guru, B., Staunton, J., & Balashanmugam,D. (2002), “Determinants of Commercial Bank Profitability in Malaysia,” Journal of Money, Credit & Banking,1769-82. Maddala,G.S & Wu,S. (1999), “ A Comparative Study of Unit Root Tests with Panel & A New Simple Test,” Oxford Bulletin of Economics & Statistics, 61, 631-652. Maudos,J. (1998), “Market Structure & Performance in Spanish Banking Using a Direct Measure of Efficiency,” Applied Financial Economics,8. Mckenzie, David, J. (2001), “The Impact of Capital Controls on Growth Convergence,” Journal of Economic Development, 26(1). Miller,S.M.,& Noulas,A.G. (1997), “Portfolio Mix & Large Bank Profitability in USA,” Applied Economics, 29(4), 505-512. Molyneux,L., & Thornton,W.(1992), ‘Structure & Performance Studies in Banking: A Summary & Evaluation,” Journal on Bank Management,28,2259-2281. Neely,M.C.& Wheelock,D.C. (1997), “Why Does Banks Performance Vary Across States? Review,” Federal Reserve Bank of St Panayitos P. A., S.N. Brissimis & M., D.Delis (2005), Bank Specific, Industry Specific & Macroeconomic Determinants of Bank Profitability,” Bank of Greece Working Peltzman, S. (1997), “The Gains & Loss from Industrial Concentration,” Journal of law & Economics, 20(3). Perry, P. (1992), “Do Banks Gain or Loss from Inflation,” Journal of Retail Banking, 14(2),25- 30. Revell, J. (1979), “Inflation & Financial Institutions,” Financial Times, London Schweiger,I.& Mcgee.J.S Short, T. (1979), “Monitoring the Macroeconomic Determinants of Banking System Stability,” Journal of Banking & Finance,17(2),117-137. Smirlock, M.(1985), “Evidence of The Relationship Between Concentration & Profitability in Banking,” Journal of Money, Credit & Banking,17,69-83. Wooldridge J.M. (2002). Econometric Analysis of Cross Section & Panel Data. MIT Press, Massachusetts.

You May Also Find These Documents Helpful

  • Better Essays

    QNT/351 Week two paper

    • 977 Words
    • 4 Pages

    References: Lind, D. A., Marchal, W. G., &Wathen, S. A. (2011). Basic statistics for business and…

    • 977 Words
    • 4 Pages
    Better Essays
  • Better Essays

    McClave, J. T., Benson, P. G., & Sincich, T. (2011). Statistics for business and economics (11th ed.). Boston, MA: Pearson-Prentice Hall.…

    • 2042 Words
    • 9 Pages
    Better Essays
  • Good Essays

    Eco 311

    • 2734 Words
    • 11 Pages

    Students will perform their own empirical analyses for the assignments and research project. We will use a dedicated statistical program called Stata, which is used by many professional economists. The School of Business has 50 site licenses for Stata, so you will have access to it in the classroom and computer labs, as well as remotely.[1] We will devote some class time to learning Stata basics.…

    • 2734 Words
    • 11 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Better Essays

    McClave, J.T., Benson, P.G., & Sincich, T. (2011). Statistics for Business and Economics (11th ed.).…

    • 991 Words
    • 4 Pages
    Better Essays
  • Satisfactory Essays

    Essay on Gun Control

    • 561 Words
    • 3 Pages

    East of Eden is a classic tale that incorporates many themes and motifs within the storyline. Throughout the film, Steinbeck makes numerous references about good versus evil. The characters Cal and Aaron Trask are based upon the biblical characters Cain and Abel. Aaron represents everything good while everyone considers Cal “bad.” The film starts off with Cal finding out a deep family secret. Adam Trask is a farmer, the war draft board chairman as well as Cal and Aaron’s father. In the story, he obviously favors Aaron more than Cal. He seems to have full confidence that Aaron will succeed in his life. However, when it comes to Cal he isn’t really sure who he is. The story takes a dramatic twist and Cal shows that even the “baddest” have some good in them.…

    • 561 Words
    • 3 Pages
    Satisfactory Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    Lind, D.A., Marchal, W.G., & Wathen, S.A. (2011). Basic Statistics for Business & Economics (7th ed.). New York, NY: The McGraw-Hill Irwin Companies, Inc.…

    • 1740 Words
    • 6 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Good Essays

    McClave, J. T., Benson, P. G., & Sincich, T. (2011). Statistics for business and economics (11th ed.). Boston, MA: Pearson-Prentice Hall.…

    • 534 Words
    • 3 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Satisfactory Essays

    ECON2206

    • 1941 Words
    • 18 Pages

    Introduction • What is econometrics? – It covers the statistical methods useful for • • • • estimating relationships among economic variables; testing economic theories; evaluating policies; forecasting…

    • 1941 Words
    • 18 Pages
    Satisfactory Essays
  • Better Essays

    Regression Analysis

    • 1285 Words
    • 6 Pages

    References: Lind, D., Marchal, W. G., & Wathen, S.A. (2004). Statistical Techniques in Business and…

    • 1285 Words
    • 6 Pages
    Better Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    Wine Investment

    • 7950 Words
    • 32 Pages

    [22] Wooldridge, J.M. (2002), Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data. Cambridge, Massachussets: The MIT Press.…

    • 7950 Words
    • 32 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Better Essays

    Based on the financial comparison chart, attached in Appendix 1, the sales ratios show that all three banks are under performing in both sales and sales growth. However, of the three banks, Chase Bank is closest to reaching a positive number at 0.03% below most recent quarter industry standard of 12.58%. All three banks are under performing sales growth expectations.…

    • 1204 Words
    • 5 Pages
    Better Essays
  • Powerful Essays

    Financial Performance of National Bank of Ethiopia Workers’ Savings and Credit Association with special emphasis to adjustments (NBE WSACA)…

    • 10212 Words
    • 41 Pages
    Powerful Essays
  • Best Essays

    Bibliography: 1. Commercial Bank of Ethiopia, Annual Report, June 2006/07, 2007/08 2008/09, 2009/10. 2. David H. Friedman (1998), Money and Banking, 4th Edition, American Bankers Association. 3. G.Jay Francis et al (1998), Principles of Banking, 6th edition, American Bankers Association. 4. Lawrence S. and William L. (1993), Principles of Money, Banking and Financial Markets, 8th Edition, basic books Harper Collins Publishers 5. Grant Thornton, 2004 Family Culture (WWW) Available from: http://www.familybiz.co.uk/ (Accessed 18 August 2005) 6. Sufin 2010 Growth and Transformation Plan 2010/11-2014/15 Ministry of Finance and Economic development. 7. Peter Heinlein, 2010 Ethiopia Devalues Its Currency by 17 Percent (WWW) Available from http://www.voanews.com/english/news/africa/east/Ethiopia-Devalues-ItsCurrency-by-17-Percent-102000588.html ( accessed 23 Nov 2011) 8. Bini , 2011 Ethiopia: Gov’t will get 11 bln a year from sale of bonds to banks (WWW) Available from http://www.newsdire.com/news/1686-ethiopia-govt-will-get-11-bln-ayear-from-sale-of-bonds-to-banks.html (accessed 23 Nov 2011) 9. FAO, 2005FAO 's Information System on Water and Agriculture (WWW) Available from http://www.fao.org/nr/water/aquastat/countries_regions/ethiopia/index.stm ( accessed 23 Nov 2011)…

    • 3074 Words
    • 13 Pages
    Best Essays
  • Good Essays

    Factors Affect Profitability

    • 26831 Words
    • 108 Pages

    This study examines the bank-specific, industry-specific and macro-economic factors affecting bank profitability for a total of eight commercial banks in Ethiopia, covering the period of 2000-2011. To this end, the study adopts a mixed methods research approach by combining documentary analysis and in-depth interviews. The findings of the study show that capital strength, income diversification, bank size and gross domestic product have statistically significant and positive relationship with banks’ profitability. On the other hand, variables like operational efficiency and asset quality have a negative and…

    • 26831 Words
    • 108 Pages
    Good Essays
  • Good Essays

    finance topics list

    • 1122 Words
    • 5 Pages

    Impact of macroeconomic indicators on stock market performance: the case study of the Bombay stock exchange 100 index…

    • 1122 Words
    • 5 Pages
    Good Essays

Related Topics