Indian authorities indicated that in February 2008, a suspected terrorist, arrested in northern India, was found to possess drawings of various sites in Mumbai, some of which were targets in the November 2008 attack. The concept of Value at risk addresses this scenario well. There were already warnings of a major attack; indicating a high impact. Given the prior indicators and warnings there appeared to be a high probability. This is not including the high psychological impact that resulted from the chaos that ensued. The adversaries were able to ensure surprise by pursuing a channel that had little to none early warning system. As a result, "the environmental threat was not identified correctly; becoming an operational risk." (Bracken, 2008) The tactics employed in the Mumbai attack were not new or remarkable; however, the attackers did incorporate some tactical innovations due to their use of modern technology. They were able to use technology to assist them with planning the attack and with their command, control and communications during the execution of their operation.
Environmental