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Peter Lloyd Davies*
University of Rochester
Michael Canes*
American Petroleum Institute
Stock Prices and the Publicationof Second-Hand Information
Introduction Considerable evidence has accumulated over the past 10 years suggesting that the stock market adjusts in an efficient manner to the arrival of new information. Claims by technical analysts that excess returns may be earned by studying price movements have found little support in studies by Fama and Blume (1966), Jensen and Benington (1970), and others.' Investigations of price movements accompanying economic events (e.g., Ball and Brown [1968] on earnings announcements, Fama et al. [1969] on stock splits) likewise have offered little hope that trading based on these announcements will be profitable. Perhaps most significantly, the gross returns earned by professional portfolio managers do not appear to be higher, given the