LESSON 1
Lesson 1:
Step 1
Population Number
Starting Number of Contagious People
Sick Days Reported
Contagious
Contagion Rate
Prediction
200
5
60
5
0.5
Simulation Run 1
600
3
51
0
0.1
Simulation Run 2
600
3
85
0
1.0
Simulation Run 3
600
3
28
0
0.0
Lesson 1:
Step 2
Population Number
Population Density
Starting Number of Contagious People
Sick Days Reported
Contagious
Contagion Rate
Prediction 1 (low)
125
Low
5
90
250
1.5
Simulation Run 1
200
Low
3
340
3
1.7
Simulation Run 2
200
Low
3
366
2
1.8
Simulation Run 3
200
Low
3
474
3
2.4
Prediction 2 (high)
490
high
5
2000
20
7.0
Simulation Run 1
900
High
3
3661
3
4.1
Simulation Run 2
900
High
3
4002
3
4.4
Simulation Run 3
900
High
3
4121
1
4.6
Responses to Questions:
1. No, the number gets lower each time we run the simulator. More vaccines and people develop stronger immune system. Also it might depend on the disease that the population had to face.
2. It would be about 0.1 per capita
1. First it is much cheaper to prevent people from getting infected because the infection can be contained very easily. In high density population it is very hard to contain the disease for the amount of citizens that live there and the contact that they have with each other. It is much expensier to developed drugs because of the high amount of population that needs dosage.
2. Its 6.5 per capita
Notes:
DATA TABLES: DISEASE
LESSON 2
Lesson 2:
Step 1
Population Number
Population Density
Starting Number of Contagious People
Sick Days Reported
Contagious
Dead
Prediction (medium/medium)
600
600
5
600
40
30
Simulation Run 1
600
Medium
3
1455
0
8
Simulation Run 2
600
medium
3
1496
0
10
Simulation Run 3
600
Medium
3
1494
0
10
Lesson 2:
Step 2
Population Mixing
Population Density
Starting Number of Contagious