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    Abstract Forecasting hotel arrivals and occupancy is an important component in hotel revenue management systems. In this paper we propose time series approach for the arrivals and occupancy forecasting problem. In this approach we simulate the hotel reservations process forward in time. A key step for the faithful emulation of the reservations process is the accurate estimation of its parameters. We propose an approach for the estimation of these parameters from the historical data. We considered

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    Patient Safety/Quality Care/Improvement Case Study 1. Overview of what are medical errors and possible consequences of such errors? The Institute of Medicine (IOM) defines medical errors as “the failure of a planned action to be completed as intended or the use of a wrong plan to achieve an aim.” Medical errors do not all result in harm or injury. Medical errors that cause injury or harm are sometimes called preventable adverse events – that is the injury is thought to be due to a medical intervention

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    Managing Quality in Health and Social Care Table of Contents Introduction In case of Health and social care services‚ quality is very important. A social care organization has to follow legal regulations and standards to provide quality service to the society. But there are some barriers to these quality services. A social and health care organization has to overcome these barriers as much as possible and at the same time it needs to adjust

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    This act of making such prediction is therefore‚ called forecasting. Forecasts are never finished‚ they are needed continuously and as the time passes‚ their accuracy and their impact on actual performance are meas So it looks like that forecast in itself‚ is not too complicated‚ it becomes complicated once the word ?good? is attached to it. Thus‚ the forecast has to be well thought and planned so it can be called good or adequate forecasting. In order to prepare a forecast‚ one should first identify

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    PLANNING FOR CARE Advanced medical directives are documents where a patient have a chance to determine in advance how his health treatment will be conducted in case he/she will incapable to communicate to medical providers. They are two main advanced medical directives. A Durable Power Of Attorney for Health Care: this is an advanced medical directive whereby a patient choose one person who will be responsible for medical decision in case he/she will not be able to communicate or to speak. This patient

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    D-The patient arrived on time for her counseling session. Reported that the she is unstable on her dose and requested for an increase of 5mg to due to withdrawals symptoms: sweats‚ nausea‚ body aches‚ and also‚ craving. This writer completed the dose change request form. Alternatives were then discussed about her recent relapse- Heroin-1/2 bundle by inhalation & Cocaine-1-2 lines by inhalation. This writer addressed the patient recent hospitalization as she define as the worst and unethical experience

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    spent the last five years working in the social care field‚ I have come to realise that my passion lies in helping people who are less advantaged. I am currently taking an health and social care course to further my ambition to become a care worker. I am working closely with my cousin brother in his own home that has epilepsy. He struggles With everything as he need 24 hour care due to his situation. This gave me great insight into the role of a care worker as working with him made me think about

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    Anna was seen at Queens park nursing home for a review in present of her daughter (Martina)‚ Interpreter (Xeni)‚ nursing home staff‚ doctor‚ cpn and nursing student. Nursing home staff approached Anna on arrival and gained consent to come to her review meeting for further assessment. Anna was asked how she was feeling about the resident and she replied by saying yes. Martina reported that the last time she wanted to take Anna out from the resident‚ Anna hair was not properly dry‚ not warm enough

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    oranges. * When the price of Florida Interior increase by 1%‚ the demand of Florida Interior decreased but the demand of California increased by 0.14%` * The above points shows that there is an increased demand for this product and in this case people prefer Florida interior as a substitute for California oranges which is a consumer preferred commodity. * For market experiment a site is chosen keeping in mind its size‚ demographic characteristics and economic base. * There should

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    Negotiation Case Study Janet is offered a job as a primary care physician at Hospital Z. The offer letter she receives includes a salary of $137‚000‚ shared lab space at an adjacent research center‚ and start up funds of $10‚000 for her research. Janet gathers additional information regarding the details of the offer and has to decide which aspects of the offer to negotiate. Here are some of the issues Janet is facing: 1. Janet gathered information from the internet about the salaries of primary

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