With U.S. public debt rising as a percentage of GDP, reform of the personal and corporate income tax codes has been suggested as a solution to achieving the twin goals of deficit/debt reduction and higher rates of economic growth.
Two important American economists have reached opposite conclusions on this issue. Martin Feldstein argues that the Tax Reform Act of 1986 "showed how a tax reform that includes lower rates can change incentives in a way that grows the tax base and produces extra revenue." Feldstein argues that the 1986 experience "showed an enormous rise in the taxes paid, particularly by those who experienced the greatest reductions in marginal tax rates." In view of today's budget shortfall, he suggests that the flattening of the tax code after the 1986 tax reform "implies that the combination of base-broadening and rate reduction would raise revenue equal to about 4 percent of the existing tax revenue," potentially "more than $500 billion in savings over the next ten years." One of the most commonly discussed issues in economics is how tax rates relate to economic growth. Advocates of tax cuts claim that a reduction in the tax rate will lead to increased economic growth and prosperity. Others claim that if we reduce taxes, almost all of the benefits will go to the rich, as those are the ones who pay the most taxes. What does economic theory suggest about the relationship between economic growth and taxation?
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