Business Forecasting Contents 1.0 Executive summary…………………………………………………………………………………4 2.0 Introduction……………………………………………………………………………………………5 3.0 Question 1……………………………………………………………………………………………...6 4.1 a) Time series plot…………………………………………………………………………6 4.2 b) Exponential smoothing methods……………………………………………….8 4.3 c) 8 months Forecasted period……………………………………………………11 4.4 d) Forecasting report……………………………………………………………………13 4.0 Question 2……………………………………………………………………………………………
Premium Forecasting Exponential smoothing Time series
Which of the following is the least useful sales forecasting model to use when sales are increasing? Select one: Trend adjusted exponential smoothing Weighted moving average Naïve Exponential smoothing ? Simple mean x Which of the following forecasting methods is most likely to be implemented to change an existing quantitative forecast to account for a new competitor in the marketplace? Select one: Gamma method Executive opinion Market research Naïve method Delphi method
Premium Forecasting Linear regression Regression analysis
QUALITATIVE FORECASTING METHODS Qualitative forecasting methods are based on educated opinions of appropriate persons 1. Delphi method: forecast is developed by a panel of experts who anonymously answer a series of questions; responses are fed back to panel members who then may change their original responses a- very time consuming and expensive b- new groupware makes this process much more feasible 2. Market research: panels‚ questionnaires‚ test markets‚ surveys‚ etc. 3. Product life-cycle
Premium Forecasting Exponential smoothing Moving average
Process Areas by Category Process Management OPD Organizational Process Definition OPF Organizational Process Focus OPM Organizational Performance Management OPP Organizational Process Performance OT Organizational Training Project Management IPM Integrated Project Management PMC Project Monitoring and Control PP Project Planning QPM Quantitative Project Management REQM Requirements Management RSKM Risk Management SAM Supplier Agreement Management Engineering PI Product Integration
Premium Capability Maturity Model
5/7/08 4:42 PM Page 52 C H A P T E R Forecasting Models 5 TEACHING SUGGESTIONS Teaching Suggestion 5.1: Wide Use of Forecasting. Forecasting is one of the most important tools a student can master because every firm needs to conduct forecasts. It’s useful to motivate students with the idea that obscure sounding techniques such as exponential smoothing are actually widely used in business‚ and a good manager is expected to understand forecasting. Regression is commonly accepted as a tool
Premium Forecasting Regression analysis Exponential smoothing
more effectively 5. Problem Two; Short-term actions regarding the new product development process * Main issue raised in the case * Steps management adopted to address the issue raised * Analysis of the effectiveness of the existing approach * Recommendations on how it could be addressed more effectively 6. Problem Three; Long-term developments regarding the new product development process * Main issue raised in the case * Steps management adopted to address the issue raised
Premium Management Strategic management Marketing
OP 2.17: Contribute to the support of children’s creative development 1. Describe why creative development is important to children’s learning Children’s creativity must be extended by the provision of support for their curiosity‚ exploration and play. They must be provided with opportunities to explore and share their thoughts‚ ideas and feelings‚ for example‚ through a variety of art‚ music‚ movement‚ dance‚ imaginative and role-play activities‚ mathematics‚ and design and technology. What
Premium Developmental psychology Play Learning
Wordcount-report-2210 Introduction This report discusses the marketing budget of a small suburban bar(Bar X) and the forecasting techniques in which the organisation may use in negotiating the marketing budget‚ taking into consideration the implications of the marketing budget upon the marketing mix in relation to the organisation. “Marketing is often thought to be only
Premium Marketing
Chapter 7 FORECASTING QUESTIONS & ANSWERS Q7.1 Accurate company sales and profit forecasting requires careful consideration of firm-specific and broader influences. Discuss some of the microeconomic and macroeconomic factors a firm must consider in its own sales and profit forecasting. Q7.1 ANSWER The better a company can assess future demand‚ the better it can plan its resources. Every corporation is exposed to three types of factors influencing demand: company‚ competitive and
Premium Regression analysis Linear regression
Riordan Strategic Plan MGT/498 April 29‚ 2013 Riordan Strategic Plan Strategic planning is the process of developing strategies for a business to achieve the greatest success possible with the best information currently available. The idea is to build a solid structure and plan of action to meet the objectives of the business. Additionally‚ a strategic plan focuses on the necessary guidelines the plan must have to ensure the organization meets set objectives. In connection‚ Riordan
Premium Strategic management Management Strategic planning