Technology Forecast

Technology forecasting is considered to be vital in today’s business environment. There have been many success stories as well as failures. Forecasting technology impacts many aspects from acquiring a new technology to developing a new technology. The course will start with reviewing several methodologies and then will analyze those impacts and how to make them beneficial for the organizations through many case studies, professional and research articles. Case Studies are selected from Harvard Business School Case Studies. Articles are selected from journals such as Technology Forecasting and Social Change.

GRADING AND DELIVERABLES

Specific Deliverable

Cases (team – in class) 30% Presentations
Project (team) 40% Paper + Presentation
Readings (individual) 30% 2 article discussions -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTAL 100%

GUIDELINES FOR DELIVERABLES

CASES – Cases will be analyzed and presented in class by teams. You should read and get yourself familiar with the case before the class,
READINGS – You will be assigned 2 articles to discuss in class.
PROJECT – Identify an emerging technology as a team and develop a forecast using Technology Forecasting Tools. Examples of such projects will be provided.Your team is required to present the progress and results of your project during the scheduled times in class. Progress presentations should not exceed 20 minutes and the final presentation will be limited to 45 minutes. You also will need to submit a report which should follow TFSC journal guidelines for a journal paper. Your report should include a literature search justifying the topic and methods used.
CASES

1. Strategic Planning at United Parcel Service, David A. Garvin, Lynne C. Levesque, Product#: 306002
2. Forecasting the Adoption of a New Product, Elie Ofek, Product#: 505062 - AND - Forecasting the Adoption of E-Books, Elie Ofek, Peter Wickersham, Product